14 September 2012, 21:34

Arab Spring turns against the USA

Arab Spring turns against the USA

There is a principle that has been proved by thousands years' worth of political activity of humans: a politician who bases his activity on postponing important decisions for later and on staying away in any conflicts of principle is doomed to fail.

There is a principle that has been proved by thousands years' worth of political activity of humans: a politician who bases his activity on postponing important decisions for later and on staying away in any conflicts of principle is doomed to fail. While he is plastering up one hole, another one appears in another place, as it is called in such cases that when the nose is cleared, the tail is stuck.

This is how it works with Obama who wants the global problems to stay low up until the presidential elections. There are many such problems because the down side of being the sole world leader is being responsible for everything. Or almost everything.

The attack against Iran is postponed despite the fact that a sharp IAEA resolution that stated that the nuclear research in that country is no longer under international control is only one of the factors in favor of a military interference solution. The results of elections in the Netherlands and the decision of Germany's Constitutional Court prevent any sharp movements in the euro zone, which could unpredictably influence the results of the presidential elections in the US. It all appears to be quiet.

And then happens what in general happens very rarely: the US Ambassador in Libya got killed. And right after that in Egypt a crowd of people with the passive consent of the police attacked the US embassy. The same thing could have happened in Tunisia but there unrest was ended in a decisive manner. Palestine has a breakout of anti-American demonstrations.

As a result, Obama draws a conclusion that Egypt is no longer a US ally just because now he has to somehow react to what is going on. But so far it looks like the thoughtless reaction of the USSR to the Six day war when the diplomatic ties with Israel were cut, which inevitably led to the decrease of the Soviet Union's presence in the region and the weakening of the USSR's position. By its withdrawal Moscow opened the path to the Camp David Accords.

And now Obama's obvious confusion can lead to the breakdown of the Camp David system. Mohamed Mursi is of course an Islamist, but not an extremist. Extremists are now attacking Egypt on the Sinai Peninsula. It is simply unfair to leave Mursi one on one with such a challenge.

It is unfair also because the USA did a lot for the preservation of democracy in Egypt by withdrawing support of the military that tried to limit the powers of the Islamist president. Could Washington really believe that observing the democratic procedures would be sufficient to install sound democracy or to bring to power those in favor of civilized development of the Arab world?

So far as a result of the Arab spring there is a great possibility of the USA losing its positions in the region. However, nobody is trying to take the place of the Americans or most importantly, suggest an alternative for the economic cooperation with the USA.

So far the US counts on the rational choice to be made by the Arab elite (it makes no sense to say the «new elite», because it is not so new). But the history is full of examples of how religious fanatic mentality can be stronger that rational arguments.

  •  
    and share via